Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.109874 0.122855 0.136150 0.150746 0.166279 0.182280 0.199970
2024-10-06 0.094419 0.112550 0.131821 0.153694 0.177699 0.203118 0.231947
2024-10-13 0.081995 0.103555 0.127232 0.154876 0.185988 0.219664 0.258617
2024-10-20 0.071615 0.095540 0.122625 0.155060 0.192372 0.233517 0.281891
2024-10-27 0.062393 0.087852 0.117531 0.153925 0.196632 0.244510 0.301606
2024-11-03 0.055909 0.082751 0.114888 0.155127 0.203160 0.257764 0.323650
2024-11-10 0.051754 0.080085 0.114805 0.159060 0.212648 0.274264 0.349323
2024-11-17 0.046352 0.075328 0.111746 0.159045 0.217172 0.284790 0.367953
2024-11-24 0.042254 0.071908 0.110059 0.160457 0.223209 0.296950 0.388396
2024-12-01 0.038553 0.068698 0.108381 0.161660 0.228823 0.308493 0.408044
2024-12-08 0.034864 0.065187 0.106056 0.161831 0.232999 0.318200 0.425443
2024-12-15 0.031831 0.062357 0.104434 0.162735 0.237961 0.328770 0.443824
2024-12-22 0.028128 0.058394 0.101273 0.161770 0.240854 0.337241 0.460284
2024-12-29 0.026085 0.056789 0.101257 0.164893 0.248921 0.352086 0.484530
2025-01-05 0.023670 0.054371 0.099935 0.166150 0.254528 0.363875 0.505093
2025-01-12 0.021195 0.051610 0.097940 0.166353 0.258677 0.373802 0.523373
2025-01-19 0.018609 0.048386 0.095059 0.165173 0.260893 0.381232 0.538542
2025-01-26 0.016875 0.046468 0.094000 0.166432 0.266263 0.392603 0.558582
2025-02-02 0.015948 0.045923 0.094980 0.170542 0.275425 0.408806 0.584672
2025-02-09 0.014206 0.043652 0.093144 0.170527 0.278986 0.417834 0.601813
2025-02-16 0.012927 0.042130 0.092391 0.172003 0.284515 0.429368 0.622101
2025-02-23 0.011717 0.040605 0.091536 0.173259 0.289706 0.440450 0.641834
2025-03-02 0.010426 0.038738 0.090007 0.173437 0.293363 0.449520 0.659026